Governing What You Cannot Predict.
The board-level session for murky outlooks — trading prophecy for preparation, tripwires and costed way-backs.
Oversee the readiness, not the forecast
Board packs predict; reality ad-libs. This session trains directors to quit marking management’s forecasts and insist on preparedness instead: practised responses, triggers settled beforehand, and an honest price on every exit.
The centrepiece is a guided exercise — every table drafts one tripwire for a live risk on its own register, and most are adopted by the next Monday.
- Best audience: boards, regulators, public bodies, risk forums.
- Format: 45–60 minutes plus facilitated exercise and Q&A.
- Takeaway: the tripwire template on a single page.
How the hour unfolds
01 · The fallacy
Why forecasting eats the most board hours yet supplies the least oversight — and what merits those hours instead.
02 · The framework
Practice drills, tuned tripwires and exit costing, shown through boards that survived the unmodelled.
03 · The exercise
Tables build a working tripwire for a real risk — the segment chairs say endures longest.
Companion reading and talks
The session note
The written partner to this keynote: rehearsal, tripwires and reversibility in seven minutes.
What Slow Decisions Really Cost
The companion keynote on waiting’s bill and the three habits that compress knowing-to-doing.
Board Effectiveness Review
A six-week review revealing where your board’s focus genuinely goes — and what it steers around.
